Shanghai Aerospace Automobile Electromechanical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600151) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 28% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 50% share price drop.
Since its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies operating in China's Auto Components industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2.1x, you may consider Shanghai Aerospace Automobile Electromechanical as an attractive investment with its 0.7x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
How Has Shanghai Aerospace Automobile Electromechanical Performed Recently?
Shanghai Aerospace Automobile Electromechanical certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai Aerospace Automobile Electromechanical's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shanghai Aerospace Automobile Electromechanical?
Shanghai Aerospace Automobile Electromechanical's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 32%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 64% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's understandable that Shanghai Aerospace Automobile Electromechanical's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Shanghai Aerospace Automobile Electromechanical's P/S
Shanghai Aerospace Automobile Electromechanical's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai Aerospace Automobile Electromechanical revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Shanghai Aerospace Automobile Electromechanical with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.