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The Price Is Right For Leader Harmonious Drive Systems Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688017) Even After Diving 27%

リーダーハーモニアス・ドライブシステム株式会社の株価は、27%下落した後でも適正です。(SHSE:688017)

Simply Wall St ·  02/02 17:31

Leader Harmonious Drive Systems Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688017) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 19% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.5x, you may still consider Leader Harmonious Drive Systems as a stock not worth researching with its 49.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688017 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024

What Does Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Leader Harmonious Drive Systems will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 24%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 76% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 37% during the coming year according to the eleven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 28% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price drop, Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Leader Harmonious Drive Systems' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Leader Harmonious Drive Systems that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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