Guangdong Jushen Logistics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001202) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 30% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 17% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Guangdong Jushen Logistics' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in China, where the median P/E ratio is around 28x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Guangdong Jushen Logistics has been doing very well. The P/E is probably moderate because investors think this strong earnings growth might not be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Guangdong Jushen Logistics' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 65% last year. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 25% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 41% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Guangdong Jushen Logistics' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Following Guangdong Jushen Logistics' share price tumble, its P/E is now hanging on to the median market P/E. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Guangdong Jushen Logistics revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Guangdong Jushen Logistics (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of Guangdong Jushen Logistics' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.