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Shanxi Huayang New Material Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600281) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 29%

山西華陽新材料株式会社(SHSE:600281)の人気が29%低下し、投資家の支持が脅かされています。

Simply Wall St ·  02/02 18:11

Shanxi Huayang New Material Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600281) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 29% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 29% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in China's Metals and Mining industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.1x, you may still consider Shanxi Huayang New MaterialLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 6.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600281 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024

What Does Shanxi Huayang New MaterialLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, Shanxi Huayang New MaterialLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanxi Huayang New MaterialLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shanxi Huayang New MaterialLtd?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Shanxi Huayang New MaterialLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 28% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 54% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 7,784,344% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shanxi Huayang New MaterialLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Shanxi Huayang New MaterialLtd's P/S?

Even after such a strong price drop, Shanxi Huayang New MaterialLtd's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Shanxi Huayang New MaterialLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Shanxi Huayang New MaterialLtd has 3 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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