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Jiujiang Shanshui Technology Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:301190) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

九江山水テクノロジー株式会社(SZSE:301190)の株価は、まだ完全に加算されていません。

Simply Wall St ·  02/02 18:32

When close to half the companies in the Chemicals industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, you may consider Jiujiang Shanshui Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:301190) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 7.7x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301190 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024

How Jiujiang Shanshui TechnologyLtd Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Jiujiang Shanshui TechnologyLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jiujiang Shanshui TechnologyLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Jiujiang Shanshui TechnologyLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Jiujiang Shanshui TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 16%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 10% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Jiujiang Shanshui TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

The fact that Jiujiang Shanshui TechnologyLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Jiujiang Shanshui TechnologyLtd (at least 3 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Jiujiang Shanshui TechnologyLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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