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Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&Tech Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603959) 30% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio

湖南バイリエンジニアリングサイエンス&テック株式会社、Ltd(SHSE:603959)の30%の下落は依然として一部の株主の株価収益率に落ち着きがありません

Simply Wall St ·  02/02 18:40

Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&Tech Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603959) shares have had a horrible month, losing 30% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 44% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Construction industry in China, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603959 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024

How Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd Has Been Performing

The revenue growth achieved at Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 28%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 81% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 26% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What We Can Learn From Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd's P/S?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd looks to be in line with the rest of the Construction industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd that we have uncovered.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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