Kuke Music Holding Limited (NYSE:KUKE) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 58% share price jump in the last month. The last month tops off a massive increase of 168% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in the United States' Entertainment industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.1x, you may consider Kuke Music Holding as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
What Does Kuke Music Holding's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Kuke Music Holding's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Kuke Music Holding, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Kuke Music Holding's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 65%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 24% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Kuke Music Holding is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Kuke Music Holding's P/S
The strong share price surge has lead to Kuke Music Holding's P/S soaring as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Kuke Music Holding currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Kuke Music Holding (including 1 which is a bit concerning).
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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Kuke Music Holding Limited(NYSE:KUKE)の株主は、過去1か月間に株価が58%上昇し、その前年度には168%の大幅な増加が見られました。
株価が大幅に上昇した後、アメリカのエンターテイメント業界の約半数の企業が1.1倍未満のP/S比率を持つ中、Kuke Music Holdingは4.6倍の高いP/S比率を持つ銘柄として避けるべきです。ただし、P/S比率をそのまま理解するのは適切ではなく、なぜそれほど高いのかについて説明があるかもしれません。
Kuke Music Holdingの最近のパフォーマンスはどうですか?
たとえば、Kuke Music Holdingの財務パフォーマンスは、収益が減少しているため、最近不振である可能性があります。それでも、多くの人々が今後の推移で、同社が大多数の他社を上回ることを期待しているため、P/S比率が崩壊することはありません。そうでないと、特に理由がない場合、相当高い値段を支払わなければなりません。
Kuke Music Holdingのアナリスト予想はありませんが、この無料のデータリッチな視覚化で、同社の収益、売上高、キャッシュフローの比較を確認してください。
収益予測は高いP/S比率と一致していますか?
Kuke Music Holdingのように、同社の成長が業界を遥かに凌駕する方向に向かっているときに、P/S比率が急激に上昇しているのを見るのは本当に快適な唯一の時間です。
今回の株価の急激な上昇により、Kuke Music HoldingのP/Sも急上昇しました。P/S比率は株式の購入の決定要因であるべきではありませんが、収益の期待のかなりの測定器と言えます。
中期的に収益が減少しているため、Kuke Music Holdingは現在、それほど高くないP/Sで取引されているという予想とは異なります。この収益のパフォーマンスは長期的には支持されるとは考えられず、高いP/Sにはまだ苦手意識があります。最近の中期的な改善を見ない場合、株主は将来の困難な期間に直面することになります。
さらにKuke Music Holdingで見つかった3つの警告サイン(そのうち1つが少し心配)についても学びましょう。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。