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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000833) 30% Share Price Plunge

なぜ投資家は広西月貴光業株式会社(SZSE:000833)の株価が30%急落したことに驚かないべきか

Simply Wall St ·  02/05 17:14

The Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000833) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 30%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 42% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Forestry industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 1.5x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000833 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 5th 2024

What Does Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Revenue has risen firmly for Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 8.5% gain to the company's revenues. Revenue has also lifted 17% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 14% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings' P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings' P/S?

Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings' recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Forestry companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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