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It's Down 28% But Shanghai Golden Bridge Info Tech Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603918) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

下落した28%ですが、上海金橋情報技術株式会社(SHSE:603918)は見かけよりもリスキーかもしれません。

Simply Wall St ·  02/05 18:09

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Shanghai Golden Bridge Info Tech Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603918) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 37%, which is great even in a bull market.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Shanghai Golden Bridge Info TechLtd's P/S ratio of 4.5x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Software industry in China is also close to 4.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603918 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 5th 2024

How Shanghai Golden Bridge Info TechLtd Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for Shanghai Golden Bridge Info TechLtd as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Shanghai Golden Bridge Info TechLtd.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shanghai Golden Bridge Info TechLtd would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Fortunately, a few good years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by 5.3% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 43% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 34% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Shanghai Golden Bridge Info TechLtd's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Shanghai Golden Bridge Info TechLtd looks to be in line with the rest of the Software industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Looking at Shanghai Golden Bridge Info TechLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Shanghai Golden Bridge Info TechLtd (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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