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Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603868) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

上海飛科電器股份有限公司(SHSE:603868)の株式は最近弱含みを見せていますが、財務見通しは良好です:市場は間違っているのでしょうか?

Simply Wall St ·  02/05 19:35

It is hard to get excited after looking at Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's (SHSE:603868) recent performance, when its stock has declined 22% over the past three months. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Specifically, we decided to study Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance is:

27% = CN¥908m ÷ CN¥3.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.27 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's Earnings Growth And 27% ROE

To begin with, Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 11% which is quite remarkable. Despite this, Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's five year net income growth was quite low averaging at only 2.9%. That's a bit unexpected from a company which has such a high rate of return. Such a scenario is likely to take place when a company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 7.8% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603868 Past Earnings Growth February 6th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 603868? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance has a three-year median payout ratio of 68% (implying that it keeps only 32% of its profits), meaning that it pays out most of its profits to shareholders as dividends, and as a result, the company has seen low earnings growth.

Moreover, Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance has been paying dividends for seven years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 57% of its profits over the next three years. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 31%.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE. Bear in mind, the company reinvests a small portion of its profits, which means that investors aren't reaping the benefits of the high rate of return. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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