Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Although, when we looked at Guangdong Green Precision Components (SZSE:300968), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Guangdong Green Precision Components:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.014 = CN¥26m ÷ (CN¥2.2b - CN¥314m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
Therefore, Guangdong Green Precision Components has an ROCE of 1.4%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Tech industry average of 5.0%.
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Guangdong Green Precision Components' ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating Guangdong Green Precision Components' past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Can We Tell From Guangdong Green Precision Components' ROCE Trend?
In terms of Guangdong Green Precision Components' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 7.8%, but since then they've fallen to 1.4%. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
On a related note, Guangdong Green Precision Components has decreased its current liabilities to 14% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
In Conclusion...
From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for Guangdong Green Precision Components have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 21% from where it was year ago. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with Guangdong Green Precision Components (at least 2 which are significant) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.