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Investors Don't See Light At End Of Shanghai Jiao Yun Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600676) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 26%

投資家は、上海交運集団株式会社(SHSE:600676)のトンネル終端に光を見ることができず、株価を26%押し下げました。

Simply Wall St ·  02/11 19:06

The Shanghai Jiao Yun Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600676) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 23% in that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, given about half the companies operating in China's Auto Components industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2x, you may consider Shanghai Jiao Yun Group as an attractive investment with its 0.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600676 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 12th 2024

What Does Shanghai Jiao Yun Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Shanghai Jiao Yun Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai Jiao Yun Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Shanghai Jiao Yun Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.7%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 30% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we understand why Shanghai Jiao Yun Group's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What We Can Learn From Shanghai Jiao Yun Group's P/S?

Shanghai Jiao Yun Group's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai Jiao Yun Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware Shanghai Jiao Yun Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit concerning.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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