share_log

Shanghai Aj GroupLtd's (SHSE:600643) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Jumps 14% This Past Week

上海アジュングループ有限公司(SHSE:600643)の収益の軌跡は、この過去1週間で株価が14%上昇することでポジティブに転じる可能性があります。

Simply Wall St ·  02/12 17:43

It's nice to see the Shanghai Aj Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600643) share price up 14% in a week. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. In fact, the share price is down 56%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last five years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the five years over which the share price declined, Shanghai Aj GroupLtd's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 23% each year. The share price decline of 15% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So investors might expect EPS to bounce back -- or they may have previously foreseen the EPS decline.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600643 Earnings Per Share Growth February 12th 2024

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Shanghai Aj GroupLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was -49%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Shanghai Aj GroupLtd shareholders are down 20% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the market return of -22%. Unfortunately, last year's performance is a deterioration of an already poor long term track record, given the loss of 8% per year over the last five years. Weak performance over the long term usually destroys market confidence in a stock, but bargain hunters may want to take a closer look for signs of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shanghai Aj GroupLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Shanghai Aj GroupLtd you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit unpleasant.

We will like Shanghai Aj GroupLtd better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

これらの内容は、情報提供及び投資家教育のためのものであり、いかなる個別株や投資方法を推奨するものではありません。 更に詳しい情報
    コメントする