If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Chengdu M&S Electronics TechnologyLtd (SHSE:688311) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Chengdu M&S Electronics TechnologyLtd, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.014 = CN¥31m ÷ (CN¥2.9b - CN¥615m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
So, Chengdu M&S Electronics TechnologyLtd has an ROCE of 1.4%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Aerospace & Defense industry average of 5.0%.
In the above chart we have measured Chengdu M&S Electronics TechnologyLtd's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Chengdu M&S Electronics TechnologyLtd, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 1.4% from 7.8% five years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
In Conclusion...
To conclude, we've found that Chengdu M&S Electronics TechnologyLtd is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Since the stock has declined 54% over the last three years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
Chengdu M&S Electronics TechnologyLtd does come with some risks though, we found 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.