Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And in our experience, buying the right stocks can give your wealth a significant boost. For example, the Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000157) share price is up 86% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 7.5% (ignoring dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 21% , including dividends .
Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Over half a decade, Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology managed to grow its earnings per share at 16% a year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 13% over the same period. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
We know that Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology will grow revenue in the future.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology, it has a TSR of 129% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 21% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 18%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
We will like Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
積極的な株式選択の目的は、市場平均よりも優れたリターンを提供する企業を見つけることです。そして、正しい株式を買うことで、富に重要なブーストが与えられます。たとえば、Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co.、Ltd. (SZSE:000157)の株価は、過去5年間で86%上昇し、配当を無視した市場利回り(約7.5%)を明らかに上回っています。一方で、最近の利益はあまり印象的ではありませんでした。株主は、配当を含めたわずか21%しか得ていません。
Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technologyが最近収益を改善したことはわかっていますが、将来、収益が成長するかどうかを分析家がチェックする必要があります。
配当についてはどうですか?
株価利益率の増加だけでなく、株式利益の総合利回りも考慮することが重要です。株価利回りは、株価の変化のみを反映するのに対し、TSRには配当の価値(再投資されたと仮定)、割引された資本調達または分社化の利益が含まれます。したがって、利益を大幅に配当する企業の場合、TSRは株価利回りよりもはるかに高くなることがよくあります。Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technologyの場合、過去5年間のTSRは129%であり、先に説明した株価利回りを上回っています。そして、配当の支払いがこの相違を主に説明しているのは驚くことではありません!
別の視点
Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technologyの株主は、過去1年間に21%の総合利益を得ていることがわかりました。もちろん、配当には含まれています。5年間の年間TSRよりも良いということです。したがって、会社に対するセンチメントは最近好ましいものになっているようです。楽観的な見方をすれば、TSRの最近の改善は、ビジネス自体が時間とともに改善していることを示していると考えることができます。市場条件が株価に与える影響を考慮することは非常に価値がありますが、より重要な要因があります。とはいえ、Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technologyには、投資分析で1つの警告サインが表示されます。このことについては知っておく必要があります...
私たちはいくつかの大型インサイダーバイを見るとZoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technologyが好きになります。待っている間に、最近インサイダーバイが多い成長企業の無料リストをチェックしてみてください。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。