When researching a stock for investment, what can tell us that the company is in decline? Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. This indicates to us that the business is not only shrinking the size of its net assets, but its returns are falling as well. On that note, looking into Zhejiang Huace Film & TV (SZSE:300133), we weren't too upbeat about how things were going.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Zhejiang Huace Film & TV, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.04 = CN¥297m ÷ (CN¥10b - CN¥2.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
So, Zhejiang Huace Film & TV has an ROCE of 4.0%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 3.8%, it's still a low return by itself.
![roce](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240221/0-34755cfd9585356ac0e6ba1a4037d88e-0-e38d194699819118a3b82f5978e4beba.png/big)
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Zhejiang Huace Film & TV compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Zhejiang Huace Film & TV .
The Trend Of ROCE
There is reason to be cautious about Zhejiang Huace Film & TV, given the returns are trending downwards. About five years ago, returns on capital were 13%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Zhejiang Huace Film & TV becoming one if things continue as they have.
On a side note, Zhejiang Huace Film & TV has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 27% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
Our Take On Zhejiang Huace Film & TV's ROCE
In summary, it's unfortunate that Zhejiang Huace Film & TV is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 35% from where it was five years ago. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
If you want to continue researching Zhejiang Huace Film & TV, you might be interested to know about the 2 warning signs that our analysis has discovered.
While Zhejiang Huace Film & TV isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.