China New Higher Education Group Limited (HKG:2001) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 24% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, China New Higher Education Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.1x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 9x and even P/E's above 18x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
China New Higher Education Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on China New Higher Education Group.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like China New Higher Education Group's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 14% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 166% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 10% per year as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 16% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why China New Higher Education Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On China New Higher Education Group's P/E
Despite China New Higher Education Group's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that China New Higher Education Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for China New Higher Education Group you should know about.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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China New Higher Education Group Limited (HKG:2001) の株主たちは、株価が素晴らしい月を過ごし、過去の弱点から回復し、26% の上昇を見せたことを喜んでいるでしょう。 すべての株主が喜んでいるわけではありませんが、株価は過去 12 ヶ月で非常に失望すべき 24% 下落しています。
価格が大幅に反発したにもかかわらず、China New Higher Education Groupの株価収益率は5.1倍であり、香港市場では半数以上の企業が株価収益率が9倍を超え、株価収益率が18倍を超える企業も多く存在するため、現在買い手がいるように見えますが、割安かどうかを判断するためには、もう少し深く掘り下げる必要があります。
他の多くの企業の業績が悪化している中、China New Higher Education Groupでは業績が好調であり、素晴らしい決算成績があることが期待され、市場がペーストされた P/E に反映されていることが考えられます。この企業が好きなら、株価が低迷している間に株を購入できることを期待するでしょう。
これにより、China New Higher Education Groupが市場に比べて P/E が低くなっている理由がわかります。ほとんどの投資家は、将来の成長が限定される見込みがあるため、株式に割り引きが加えられることを期待しています。
China New Higher Education Group の P/E については何を言っても、この株式を購入するかどうかの決定要因となるべきではありませんが、収益の期待感のバロメーターとしてはかなり有能なものです。
China New Higher Education Group の株価は、上昇基調にありますが、他の多くの企業に比べてまだP/Eは低いです。
China New Higher Education Groupは、予想される成長率が市場平均よりも低いという弱みに基づいて、低いP/Eを維持しています。現在、株主は、将来の収益が悪い結果になる可能性が高いことを認識した上で、低いP/Eを受け入れています。これらの条件が改善しない限り、この水準までの株価に壁が形成されることになります。
他にどのようなリスクがあるのでしょうか?すべての企業にはリスクがありますが、我々はChina New Higher Education Groupの警告ポイントを 2 点見つけました。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。