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Shanghai Newtouch Software Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688590) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

上海ニュータッチソフトウェア株式会社(SHSE:688590)の株価は上昇していますが、財務状況はあいまいです。この勢いは続くでしょうか?

Simply Wall St ·  02/27 21:54

Shanghai Newtouch Software (SHSE:688590) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 16% over the last week. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shanghai Newtouch Software's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Newtouch Software is:

4.9% = CN¥71m ÷ CN¥1.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.05 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Shanghai Newtouch Software's Earnings Growth And 4.9% ROE

As you can see, Shanghai Newtouch Software's ROE looks pretty weak. Further, we noted that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 5.6%. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 35% seen by Shanghai Newtouch Software over the last five years is not surprising.

So, as a next step, we compared Shanghai Newtouch Software's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 7.5% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:688590 Past Earnings Growth February 28th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shanghai Newtouch Software is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Shanghai Newtouch Software Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

While the company did payout a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a dividend. This implies that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shanghai Newtouch Software can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Shanghai Newtouch Software.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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