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Shenzhen SEICHI Technologies Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688627) 25% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

深センSEICHIテクノロジーズ株式会社の(SHSE:688627)株価が25%急騰しているが、完全には合計されていない

Simply Wall St ·  03/03 19:06

Those holding Shenzhen SEICHI Technologies Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688627) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 25% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

After such a large jump in price, Shenzhen SEICHI Technologies' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 50x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 30x and even P/E's below 18x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Shenzhen SEICHI Technologies as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688627 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 4th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen SEICHI Technologies, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Shenzhen SEICHI Technologies?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Shenzhen SEICHI Technologies would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 54% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 144% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 41% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that Shenzhen SEICHI Technologies' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Shenzhen SEICHI Technologies' P/E?

The strong share price surge has got Shenzhen SEICHI Technologies' P/E rushing to great heights as well. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Shenzhen SEICHI Technologies revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Having said that, be aware Shenzhen SEICHI Technologies is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shenzhen SEICHI Technologies, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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