Those holding CPT Technology (Group) Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000536) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 35% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.7x, you may consider CPT Technology (Group)Ltd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 7.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
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How Has CPT Technology (Group)Ltd Performed Recently?
For instance, CPT Technology (Group)Ltd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for CPT Technology (Group)Ltd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is CPT Technology (Group)Ltd's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like CPT Technology (Group)Ltd's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 59%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 37% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that CPT Technology (Group)Ltd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From CPT Technology (Group)Ltd's P/S?
The strong share price surge has lead to CPT Technology (Group)Ltd's P/S soaring as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of CPT Technology (Group)Ltd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for CPT Technology (Group)Ltd you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.