Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600566) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 29% in the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.5x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 31x and even P/E's above 56x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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How Is Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 20% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 75% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 5.6% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 41% growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical's P/E
Even after such a strong price move, Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical's P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.