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What Zhonghang Electronic Measuring Instruments Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300114) 26% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

中航电测仪器股份有限公司(SZSE:300114)の株価が26%上昇したことが伝えていないこと

Simply Wall St ·  03/07 06:11

Those holding Zhonghang Electronic Measuring Instruments Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300114) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 33% over that time.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.7x, you may consider Zhonghang Electronic Measuring InstrumentsLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 14.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300114 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

What Does Zhonghang Electronic Measuring InstrumentsLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Zhonghang Electronic Measuring InstrumentsLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhonghang Electronic Measuring InstrumentsLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Zhonghang Electronic Measuring InstrumentsLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 9.5%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 2.3% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Zhonghang Electronic Measuring InstrumentsLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Zhonghang Electronic Measuring InstrumentsLtd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Zhonghang Electronic Measuring InstrumentsLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Zhonghang Electronic Measuring InstrumentsLtd.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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