Those holding Chengdu JOUAV Automation Tech Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688070) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 46% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 31% over that time.
Since its price has surged higher, Chengdu JOUAV Automation TechLtd may be sending sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 9.1x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China have P/S ratios under 7.3x and even P/S lower than 3x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
How Chengdu JOUAV Automation TechLtd Has Been Performing
Recent revenue growth for Chengdu JOUAV Automation TechLtd has been in line with the industry. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Chengdu JOUAV Automation TechLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Chengdu JOUAV Automation TechLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 3.5% last year. Revenue has also lifted 9.4% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 102% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 48% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Chengdu JOUAV Automation TechLtd's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
Chengdu JOUAV Automation TechLtd shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Chengdu JOUAV Automation TechLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Chengdu JOUAV Automation TechLtd (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of Chengdu JOUAV Automation TechLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.