When it comes to investing, there are some useful financial metrics that can warn us when a business is potentially in trouble. Typically, we'll see the trend of both return on capital employed (ROCE) declining and this usually coincides with a decreasing amount of capital employed. This indicates to us that the business is not only shrinking the size of its net assets, but its returns are falling as well. Having said that, after a brief look, Genimous Technology (SZSE:000676) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Genimous Technology:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.025 = CN¥94m ÷ (CN¥4.7b - CN¥922m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
So, Genimous Technology has an ROCE of 2.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Software industry average of 2.7%.
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of Genimous Technology.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Genimous Technology Tell Us?
We are a bit anxious about the trends of ROCE at Genimous Technology. To be more specific, today's ROCE was 14% five years ago but has since fallen to 2.5%. What's equally concerning is that the amount of capital deployed in the business has shrunk by 34% over that same period. When you see both ROCE and capital employed diminishing, it can often be a sign of a mature and shrinking business that might be in structural decline. If these underlying trends continue, we wouldn't be too optimistic going forward.
What We Can Learn From Genimous Technology's ROCE
In summary, it's unfortunate that Genimous Technology is shrinking its capital base and also generating lower returns. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 13% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
If you want to know some of the risks facing Genimous Technology we've found 2 warning signs (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.