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UTour Group (SZSE:002707) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

UTour Group(SZSE:002707)は債務を抱えていますが、利益はありません。心配する必要がありますか?

Simply Wall St ·  03/07 17:26

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies UTour Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002707) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

How Much Debt Does UTour Group Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that UTour Group had debt of CN¥486.3m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from CN¥1.02b over a year. However, it does have CN¥653.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥166.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002707 Debt to Equity History March 7th 2024

A Look At UTour Group's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, UTour Group had liabilities of CN¥2.09b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥25.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥653.1m in cash and CN¥274.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.19b.

Since publicly traded UTour Group shares are worth a total of CN¥6.50b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, UTour Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if UTour Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, UTour Group reported revenue of CN¥2.3b, which is a gain of 369%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. When it comes to revenue growth, that's like nailing the game winning 3-pointer!

So How Risky Is UTour Group?

While UTour Group lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥153m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. One positive is that UTour Group is growing revenue apace, which makes it easier to sell a growth story and raise capital if need be. But that doesn't change our opinion that the stock is risky. When we look at a riskier company, we like to check how their profits (or losses) are trending over time. Today, we're providing readers this interactive graph showing how UTour Group's profit, revenue, and operating cashflow have changed over the last few years.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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