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Sichuan Tianwei Electronic Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688511) Shares Climb 30% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

四川省天威电子有限公司(SHSE:688511)の株式が30%上昇しましたが、ビジネスはまだ追いついていません

Simply Wall St ·  03/08 17:01

Sichuan Tianwei Electronic Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688511) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 30% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 35% in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, Sichuan Tianwei ElectronicLtd may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 34.9x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 29x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

Sichuan Tianwei ElectronicLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688511 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 8th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Sichuan Tianwei ElectronicLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Sichuan Tianwei ElectronicLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 13% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 66% overall drop in EPS. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 41% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Sichuan Tianwei ElectronicLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

The large bounce in Sichuan Tianwei ElectronicLtd's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Sichuan Tianwei ElectronicLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Sichuan Tianwei ElectronicLtd that you need to take into consideration.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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