Central China Management Company Limited (HKG:9982) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 49% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, Central China Management's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3.7x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 9x and even P/E's above 18x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Central China Management has been very sluggish. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Central China Management's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Is There Any Growth For Central China Management?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Central China Management's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 53% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 68% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 3.0% each year during the coming three years according to the two analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 15% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Central China Management is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Central China Management's P/E
Central China Management's recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Central China Management maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Having said that, be aware Central China Management is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Central China Management's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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この1か月間株価の上昇から復調し、26%の上昇を記録したことで、Central China Management Company Limited(HKG:9982)の株主は興奮するでしょう。残念ながら、過去1年間の損失を挽回するには、先月の利益は少なく、株価は49%下降し続けます。
ここでCentral China Managementの株価収益(P/E)比が3.7倍であっても、香港市場の半分以上の企業の株価収益比が9倍以上であり、18倍以上の株価収益比が一般的であると比較すると、現時点で強い買いと見なされる傾向があります。ただし、単にP/Eを顔色で批判することは賢明ではなく、それが制限されている理由があるかもしれないことに注意する必要があります。
SEHK:9982の株価収益率と業種の比較、2024年3月12日
Central China Managementの成長はありますか?
Central China ManagementのようにP/Eが低くなっているのは、会社の成長が市場よりも明らかに遅れていると予想される場合だけです。
この情報から、市場よりも低いP/Eで取引されているCentral China Managementの理由がわかります。ほとんどの投資家は、将来の成長の可能性が限られていることを期待しており、株式の割引価格しか支払う気がないようです。
Central China ManagementのP/Eに関する最終的な結論
Central China Managementの最近の株価上昇は、そのP/Eがしっかりと地についていることを示しています。私たちは、P/E比率の力が主に評価の機器ではなく、現在の投資家の感情と将来の期待を測定するためであると言います。
一般的に予想されるよりも将来の成長が低いため、Central China Managementは低いP/Eを維持しています。この段階では、収益改善の可能性が十分に大きくないという投資家の見方から、より高いP/E比率を正当化する十分な理由がないと感じています。このような環境では、株価が急激に上昇するのを見るのは難しいでしょう。
ただし、そのような可能性があることに気をつけてください。Central China Managementは、私たちの投資分析で2つの警告サインを示しています。
Central China Managementのビジネスの強さに自信がない場合は、見逃した企業の他の企業のリストを調べるための当社のインタラクティブリストをご覧ください。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。