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Even After Rising 6.2% This Past Week, Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels (HKG:45) Shareholders Are Still Down 49% Over the Past Five Years

過去1週間で6.2%上昇したにもかかわらず、香港上海ホテル(HKG:45)の株主は過去5年間で依然として49%減少しています。

Simply Wall St ·  03/12 23:19

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term The Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels, Limited (HKG:45) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 50% over a half decade. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 29% over the last twelve months. In contrast, the stock price has popped 9.2% in the last thirty days. But this could be related to good market conditions, with stocks up around 6.7% during the period.

The recent uptick of 6.2% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

Because Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

In the last five years Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels saw its revenue shrink by 12% per year. That's definitely a weaker result than most pre-profit companies report. Arguably, the market has responded appropriately to this business performance by sending the share price down 8% (annualized) in the same time period. We don't generally like to own companies that lose money and don't grow revenues. You might be better off spending your money on a leisure activity. This looks like a really risky stock to buy, at a glance.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:45 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 13th 2024

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 8.2% in the twelve months, Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels shareholders did even worse, losing 29%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 8% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels has 3 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

Of course Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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