This week we saw the Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company Limited (HKG:1833) share price climb by 11%. But the last three years have seen a terrible decline. In that time the share price has melted like a snowball in the desert, down 88%. So we're relieved for long term holders to see a bit of uplift. The thing to think about is whether the business has really turned around. We really hope anyone holding through that price crash has a diversified portfolio. Even when you lose money, you don't have to lose the lesson.
The recent uptick of 11% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.
Given that Ping An Healthcare and Technology didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.
Over the last three years, Ping An Healthcare and Technology's revenue dropped 4.0% per year. That is not a good result. The share price fall of 23% (per year, over three years) is a stern reminder that money-losing companies are expected to grow revenue. We're generally averse to companies with declining revenues, but we're not alone in that. There's no more than a snowball's chance in hell that share price will head back to its old highs, in the short term.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
Ping An Healthcare and Technology is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. You can see what analysts are predicting for Ping An Healthcare and Technology in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
A Different Perspective
We regret to report that Ping An Healthcare and Technology shareholders are down 33% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 5.0%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 12% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. Shareholders might want to examine this detailed historical graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
今週、Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company Limited (HKG:1833) の株価は11%上昇しました。しかし、過去3年間はひどい下落を経験し、株価は88%下落しました。長期保有者にとっては少し救われた状況ですが、ビジネスが本当に立ち直ったかどうかを考える必要があります。その値下がりに耐えた人たちには多様化されたポートフォリオを持つことを強く勧めます。お金を失っても、教訓は得られます。
Ping An Healthcare and Technologyは、過去12か月間に利益を出していないため、ビジネスの発展を短期的に形成するために収益成長に焦点を当てます。利益が出ていない場合、一般的に収益成長が良好であることを期待します。収益成長が微小で、利益が出ていない場合、会社が持続可能であることを確信するのは難しく、そのためです。
過去3年間、Ping An Healthcare and Technologyの収益は毎年4.0%減少しました。それは良くありません。23%の株価下落(3年間の毎年)は、損失を出している企業が収益を成長させることを期待されていることの厳しいリマインダーです。収益が減少している企業には懐疑的ですが、それは我々だけの意見ではありません。短期間に株価が古い高値に戻る可能性はほとんどありません。
Ping An Healthcare and Technologyは、投資家によく知られており、多くの賢いアナリストが将来の利益レベルを予測しようとしています。Ping An Healthcare and Technologyの将来の利益に関するアナリストの予測をこの対話型グラフで見ることができます。
異なる見方
残念ながら、Ping An Healthcare and Technologyの株主は今年33%下落しています。残念ながら、それは5.0%の市場全体の下落よりも悪いです。それでも、落ち込む市場であっても株式が過剰に売られることは避けられません。重要なのは、基本的な開発を注視することです。昨年のパフォーマンスは悪いランですが、株主は5年間で年間12%の総損失に直面しています。Baron Rothschildは「血の通り道で買うべき」と言っていますが、まず高品質のビジネスを購入することを確認してください。株主は、過去の収益、収益、および現金フローの詳細な履歴グラフを検討することができます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。