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Keysino Separation Technology Inc.'s (SZSE:300899) 28% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

キーシノセパレーションテクノロジー(SZSE:300899)の株価が28%上昇し、収益に見合っていない

Simply Wall St ·  03/14 18:07

Keysino Separation Technology Inc. (SZSE:300899) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

After such a large jump in price, Keysino Separation Technology may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 70x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 31x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Keysino Separation Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300899 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 14th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Keysino Separation Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Keysino Separation Technology?

Keysino Separation Technology's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 36% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 72% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 41% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Keysino Separation Technology's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

The strong share price surge has got Keysino Separation Technology's P/E rushing to great heights as well. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Keysino Separation Technology revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Keysino Separation Technology (2 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Keysino Separation Technology. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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