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Optimistic Investors Push SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (NYSE:SMHI) Shares Up 25% But Growth Is Lacking

楽観的な投資家によって、SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc.(NYSE:SMHI)の株価は25%上昇しましたが、成長は不十分です。

Simply Wall St ·  03/15 06:52

SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (NYSE:SMHI) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 58%.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that SEACOR Marine Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Energy Services industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:SMHI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 15th 2024

How SEACOR Marine Holdings Has Been Performing

SEACOR Marine Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on SEACOR Marine Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, SEACOR Marine Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 29% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 97% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 0.2% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 12% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's curious that SEACOR Marine Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

SEACOR Marine Holdings appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Given that SEACOR Marine Holdings' revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with SEACOR Marine Holdings (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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