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Investors Appear Satisfied With Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300876) Prospects As Shares Rocket 30%

広東モダンハイテクファイバーは株価が30%上がり、投資家はその見通しに満足しているようです。ロケットカンパニーズ株式会社

Simply Wall St ·  03/16 20:18

Those holding Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co., Ltd (SZSE:300876) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 30% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 32% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 31x, you may consider Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber as a stock to avoid entirely with its 50.9x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300876 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 17th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 33%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 68% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 140% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 41%, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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