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Guangzhou Echom Sci.&Tech.Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002420) Shares Fly 34% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

広州エコム科技株式会社(SZSE:002420)の株価が34%上昇したが、投資家は成長のために購入していない

Simply Wall St ·  03/16 20:52

Those holding Guangzhou Echom Sci.&Tech.Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002420) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 34% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 34% over that time.

Although its price has surged higher, when close to half the companies operating in China's Consumer Durables industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2x, you may still consider Guangzhou Echom Sci.&Tech.Co.Ltd as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002420 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 17th 2024

How Has Guangzhou Echom Sci.&Tech.Co.Ltd Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Guangzhou Echom Sci.&Tech.Co.Ltd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Guangzhou Echom Sci.&Tech.Co.Ltd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Guangzhou Echom Sci.&Tech.Co.Ltd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 17%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 26% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we are not surprised that Guangzhou Echom Sci.&Tech.Co.Ltd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From Guangzhou Echom Sci.&Tech.Co.Ltd's P/S?

Guangzhou Echom Sci.&Tech.Co.Ltd's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It's no surprise that Guangzhou Echom Sci.&Tech.Co.Ltd maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Guangzhou Echom Sci.&Tech.Co.Ltd with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Guangzhou Echom Sci.&Tech.Co.Ltd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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