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Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation Limited's (SZSE:002729) Shares Climb 33% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

ホリーランド(中国)エレクトロニクステクノロジーコーポレーションリミテッド(SZSE:002729)の株価が33%上昇したが、ビジネスはまだ追いついていない。

Simply Wall St ·  03/18 18:10

Those holding Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation Limited (SZSE:002729) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 33% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 40% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11.1x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios under 4x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002729 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 18th 2024

What Does Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 13% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 62% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology's P/S?

The strong share price surge has lead to Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology's P/S soaring as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Having said that, be aware Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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