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Optimistic Investors Push Shenzhen Glory Medical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002551) Shares Up 28% But Growth Is Lacking

楽観的な投資家が深圳グローリーメディカル株式会社(SZSE:002551)の株価を28%押し上げますが、成長に欠けています。東Gが欠けています。

Simply Wall St ·  03/18 22:00

Those holding Shenzhen Glory Medical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002551) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 28% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 28% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.1x, considering almost half the companies in China's Construction industry have P/S ratios below 1.2x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002551 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 19th 2024

What Does Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 21%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 35% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

The large bounce in Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shenzhen Glory MedicalLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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