Those holding Hubei Huarong Holding Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600421) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 46% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 28% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Trade Distributors industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.7x, you may consider Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 11.9x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Has Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd Performed Recently?
Revenue has risen firmly for Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 32% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 18% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd's P/S?
The strong share price surge has lead to Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd's P/S soaring as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd that you need to take into consideration.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.