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What InvesTech Holdings Limited's (HKG:1087) 35% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

インベステック・ホールディングスリミテッド(HKG:1087)の35%の株価上昇があなたに伝えないこと

Simply Wall St ·  03/22 23:36

InvesTech Holdings Limited (HKG:1087) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 35% after a shaky period beforehand. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 2.2% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think InvesTech Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Communications industry is similar at about 0.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1087 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 22nd 2024

What Does InvesTech Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for InvesTech Holdings as its revenue has been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the share price, and thus the P/S ratio, from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on InvesTech Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For InvesTech Holdings?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like InvesTech Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 38% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 33% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 47% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that InvesTech Holdings' P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does InvesTech Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

InvesTech Holdings' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of InvesTech Holdings revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with InvesTech Holdings (including 1 which is concerning).

If you're unsure about the strength of InvesTech Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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