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Lifan Technology(Group)Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:601777) Business Is Trailing The Industry But Its Shares Aren't

リーファンテクノロジー(グループ)株式会社(SHSE:601777)のビジネスは業界を追っていますが、株式は同様ではありません。

Simply Wall St ·  03/25 20:22

It's not a stretch to say that Lifan Technology(Group)Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:601777) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.9x seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for Auto companies in China, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:601777 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 26th 2024

How Has Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd Performed Recently?

Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 14%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 128% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 67% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd's P/S

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

Having said that, be aware Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Lifan Technology(Group)Co.Ltd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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