Wine's Link International Holdings Limited (HKG:8509) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25% share price drop in the last month. Longer-term, the stock has been solid despite a difficult 30 days, gaining 19% in the last year.
Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Wine's Link International Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Hong Kong, where the median P/E ratio is around 9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
For instance, Wine's Link International Holdings' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Wine's Link International Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Wine's Link International Holdings' Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Wine's Link International Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 12%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 70% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 21% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we can see why Wine's Link International Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on assuming the company will continue keeping a low profile.
The Final Word
Following Wine's Link International Holdings' share price tumble, its P/E is now hanging on to the median market P/E. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Wine's Link International Holdings maintains its moderate P/E off the back of its recent three-year growth being in line with the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a high or low P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Wine's Link International Holdings (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.