Statistically speaking, long term investing is a profitable endeavour. But no-one is immune from buying too high. Zooming in on an example, the CITIC Guoan Information Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000839) share price dropped 68% in the last half decade. That is extremely sub-optimal, to say the least. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 15% in the last 90 days.
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for CITIC Guoan Information Industry isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
Given that CITIC Guoan Information Industry didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.
In the last five years CITIC Guoan Information Industry saw its revenue shrink by 9.0% per year. That puts it in an unattractive cohort, to put it mildly. It seems appropriate, then, that the share price slid about 11% annually during that time. We don't generally like to own companies that lose money and don't grow revenues. You might be better off spending your money on a leisure activity. You'd want to research this company pretty thoroughly before buying, it looks a bit too risky for us.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market lost about 13% in the twelve months, CITIC Guoan Information Industry shareholders did even worse, losing 17%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 11% doled out over the last five years. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for CITIC Guoan Information Industry that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
統計的に見れば、長期投資は収益性の高いものです。しかし、高い値段で買い入れることにも誰も免疫があるわけではありません。例えば、 CITIC Guoan Information Industry Co. Ltd.(SZSE:000839)の株価は過去5年間で68%下落しました。少なくとも、それは非常に非効率的なことです。株主にとっては、最近の株価の下落率は15%で、さらに厳しい状況が続いています。
過去1週間から判断すると、CITIC Guoan Information Industryの投資家の感情はあまり肯定的ではないので、基本的価値と株価に乖離があるかどうかを確認しましょう。
CITIC Guoan Information Industryが過去12か月間に利益を上げていないことから、ビジネスの発展の速やかな概要を形成するために収益成長に焦点を当てます。一般的に、利益がない会社は、毎年収益を良いペースで成長することが期待されています。これは、収益成長が限りなく少なく、利益が出ない場合、会社が持続可能であると自信を持つのが難しいためです。過去5年間、CITIC Guoan Information Industryは年平均9.0%収益減少しました。それは穏やかな言い方をしても魅力的ではないカテゴリに属するものです。それに伴い、株価はその期間に年平均11%下落したようです。私たちは、利益を上げずに収益を減らす会社を所有することをあまり好みません。貴方は、この会社を買う前にかなり徹底的に調べる必要があるかもしれません。リスクが高すぎるように見えるので、私たちにとってはちょっとリスキーすぎるように思えます。余暇活動にお金を使った方が良いかもしれません。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。