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Optimistic Investors Push Dali Pharmaceuticalco.,Ltd (SHSE:603963) Shares Up 46% But Growth Is Lacking

楽観的な投資家が大理製薬株式会社(SHSE:603963)の株価を46%押し上げているが、成長は不足している

Simply Wall St ·  03/29 20:23

Those holding Dali Pharmaceuticalco.,Ltd (SHSE:603963) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 46% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 5.5% over the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.2x, you may consider Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd as a stock not worth researching with its 23.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603963 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 30th 2024

What Does Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd?

Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 26%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 54% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 43% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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