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We Think Hengxin Technology's (HKG:1085) Solid Earnings Are Understated

広信科技(HKG:1085)の堅実な収益は過小評価されていると考えています。

Simply Wall St ·  04/04 18:51

Despite posting healthy earnings, Hengxin Technology Ltd.'s (HKG:1085 ) stock has been quite weak. We have done some analysis, and found some encouraging factors that we believe the shareholders should consider.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1085 Earnings and Revenue History April 4th 2024

Zooming In On Hengxin Technology's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Hengxin Technology recorded an accrual ratio of -0.11. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥269m, well over the CN¥69.7m it reported in profit. Hengxin Technology's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hengxin Technology.

Our Take On Hengxin Technology's Profit Performance

Hengxin Technology's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Hengxin Technology's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 14% per year over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Hengxin Technology as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Be aware that Hengxin Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those can't be ignored...

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Hengxin Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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