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Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's (SHSE:603682) Solid Earnings Have Been Accounted For Conservatively

上海ゴールデンユニオン商業管理有限公司(SHSE:603682)の安定した利益は、控えめに計上されています。

Simply Wall St ·  04/05 18:16

The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from Shanghai Golden Union Commercial Management Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603682) despite the healthy numbers. We did some analysis to find out why and believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors contained in the earnings.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603682 Earnings and Revenue History April 5th 2024

Zooming In On Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd has an accrual ratio of -0.62 for the year to December 2023. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥644m, well over the CN¥98.8m it reported in profit. Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥56m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

Our Take On Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's Profit Performance

Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. After taking into account all these factors, we think that Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's statutory results are a decent reflection of its underlying earnings power. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd you should be mindful of and 1 of these bad boys shouldn't be ignored.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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