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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group) Inc. (SZSE:000661)?

株価の減少と基盤の堅調さ:長春高新技術産業(グループ)股份有限公司(SZSE:000661)について市場は間違っているのか?

Simply Wall St ·  04/11 22:00

Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group) (SZSE:000661) has had a rough month with its share price down 9.8%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group)'s ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group) is:

19% = CN¥4.8b ÷ CN¥25b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.19 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group)'s Earnings Growth And 19% ROE

To start with, Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group)'s ROE looks acceptable. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 8.2% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. Probably as a result of this, Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group) was able to see an impressive net income growth of 24% over the last five years. We believe that there might also be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group)'s growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 11% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000661 Past Earnings Growth April 12th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group) is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group) Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group)'s ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 9.6% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (90%) of its profits. So it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business and this reflects in its earnings growth number.

Moreover, Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group) is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 16% over the next three years. Regardless, the ROE is not expected to change much for the company despite the higher expected payout ratio.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that Changchun High-Tech Industries (Group)'s performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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