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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Shandong Xinneng Taishan Power Generation Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:000720) Shares After Tumbling 25%

山東新能泰山発電股份有限公司(SZSE:000720)の株価が25%下落した後、より不快なサプライズが待っているかもしれません。

Simply Wall St ·  04/16 18:16

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Shandong Xinneng Taishan Power Generation Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000720) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 51% loss during that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Shandong Xinneng Taishan Power GenerationLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Logistics industry is similar at about 1.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000720 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 16th 2024

What Does Shandong Xinneng Taishan Power GenerationLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Shandong Xinneng Taishan Power GenerationLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shandong Xinneng Taishan Power GenerationLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Shandong Xinneng Taishan Power GenerationLtd's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 48% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 14% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Shandong Xinneng Taishan Power GenerationLtd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Shandong Xinneng Taishan Power GenerationLtd's P/S?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Shandong Xinneng Taishan Power GenerationLtd looks to be in line with the rest of the Logistics industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

The fact that Shandong Xinneng Taishan Power GenerationLtd currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shandong Xinneng Taishan Power GenerationLtd, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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