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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300436) Shares After Tumbling 28%

福建康弘药业股份有限公司(SZSE:300436)の株が28%下落した後、さらに不快な出来事が待ち受けている可能性があります。

Simply Wall St ·  04/16 18:14

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300436) shares are down a considerable 28% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 54% share price decline.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.3x, you may still consider Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical as a stock not worth researching with its 6.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300436 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 16th 2024

How Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical Has Been Performing

For instance, Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.3%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in revenue being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 42% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical's P/S

Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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