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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Nanjing CIGU Technology Corp.,LTD.'s (SHSE:688448) Shares After Tumbling 25%

南京CIGUテクノロジー株式会社の株価が25%下落した後、より不快な驚きが待っているかもしれません。

Simply Wall St ·  04/16 18:37

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Nanjing CIGU Technology Corp.,LTD. (SHSE:688448) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 26% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.9x is worth a mention when the median P/E in China is similar at about 29x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

For example, consider that Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688448 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 16th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 18%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 28% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 36% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD's P/E?

With its share price falling into a hole, the P/E for Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD looks quite average now. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Nanjing CIGU TechnologyLTD. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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