The Asian Citrus Holdings Limited (HKG:73) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 80% loss during that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Asian Citrus Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Food industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
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How Has Asian Citrus Holdings Performed Recently?
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Asian Citrus Holdings as its revenue has been rising very briskly. The P/S is probably moderate because investors think this strong revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Asian Citrus Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Asian Citrus Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Asian Citrus Holdings?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Asian Citrus Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 87%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 68% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 11% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Asian Citrus Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What Does Asian Citrus Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Asian Citrus Holdings looks to be in line with the rest of the Food industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
The fact that Asian Citrus Holdings currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Asian Citrus Holdings (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.