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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688496) Shares After Tumbling 28%

蘇州清悦光電技術股份有限公司(SHSE:688496)の株価が28%下落した後、より不快な驚きが待っているかもしれません。

Simply Wall St ·  04/20 20:33

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688496) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 11% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Semiconductor industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 5.8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688496 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 21st 2024

What Does Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 36% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 34% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 34% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Following Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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