Tianli Holdings Group Limited (HKG:117) shares have retraced a considerable 29% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 43% share price drop.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Tianli Holdings Group's P/S ratio of 0.4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Electronic industry in Hong Kong is about the same. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
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How Has Tianli Holdings Group Performed Recently?
Tianli Holdings Group certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Tianli Holdings Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Tianli Holdings Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Tianli Holdings Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 35% last year. As a result, it also grew revenue by 11% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
In light of this, it's curious that Tianli Holdings Group's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Tianli Holdings Group's P/S?
Following Tianli Holdings Group's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Tianli Holdings Group's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Tianli Holdings Group (2 are concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.